Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 8.470805 9.846644 11.326386 13.030531 14.933067 16.985865 19.362264
2025-03-30 6.685736 8.459089 10.491521 12.973778 15.903139 19.229381 23.269992
2025-04-06 5.579810 7.588204 10.015868 13.126134 16.961817 21.492750 27.201333
2025-04-13 4.762598 6.910999 9.633291 13.268436 17.921642 23.601604 30.974127
2025-04-20 4.226646 6.498678 9.499638 13.652518 19.138810 26.021131 35.175297
2025-04-27 3.753910 6.096469 9.312905 13.912090 20.163375 28.198207 39.117308
2025-05-04 3.280092 5.624411 8.968070 13.902475 20.793108 29.853699 42.414355
2025-05-11 2.717427 4.944343 8.253516 13.303033 20.555994 30.319295 44.131420
2025-05-18 2.347644 4.511005 7.847715 13.093435 20.817316 31.428498 46.704230
2025-05-25 2.011527 4.086110 7.408122 12.787321 20.901841 32.271186 48.913838
2025-06-01 1.754457 3.759373 7.086072 12.623531 21.165280 33.349883 51.457127
2025-06-08 1.503718 3.408641 6.688652 12.304968 21.166216 34.035813 53.449940
2025-06-15 1.349481 3.217322 6.540703 12.373425 21.757052 35.596144 56.739830
2025-06-22 1.195036 3.003552 6.332362 12.323428 22.152878 36.873590 59.649775
2025-06-29 1.087812 2.869079 6.249622 12.471609 22.858030 38.622812 63.283054
2025-07-06 0.990780 2.741767 6.166613 12.609072 23.544327 40.356384 66.930242
2025-07-13 0.932260 2.689786 6.217742 12.978277 24.615726 42.700384 71.534719
2025-07-20 0.864901 2.608145 6.203827 13.227760 25.494451 44.767088 75.767651
2025-07-27 0.776464 2.463700 6.053283 13.218594 25.935456 46.159683 79.008767
2025-08-03 0.643913 2.188291 5.612056 12.642906 25.384639 45.967748 79.818010
2025-08-10 0.561295 2.023782 5.381341 12.441666 25.459867 46.761010 82.148944
2025-08-17 0.481423 1.850613 5.113427 12.147793 25.353609 47.249951 84.007399
2025-08-24 0.421027 1.719527 4.923318 11.990577 25.477099 48.108052 86.455585